Loading NBA page
Use this calculator when you already like a prop, but want to choose the best Line/Odds combination.
For example, is 13.5 at +125 better value than 12.5 at -120? Or is 15.5 at +280 the better option?
The calculator uses a Poisson-based model to estimate the implied average needed to make each line fair at the given odds.
The displayed value does not represent +EV. It represents the relative value between the Line/Odds combinations entered. Hover an output rank to see how it compares with the best option.
This calculator removes the bookmaker margin from a two-outcome market using proportional de-vigging.
Each price is converted to an implied probability, then both probabilities are scaled to total 100%.
Use this calculator to compare the line and odds you took with the closing market. Any movement in both is combined into a single Total CLV percentage.
If the line did not move, leave the Line fields blank and enter only your odds and the closing odds. If the line moved, enter both lines and select Over or Under. The calculator uses a Poisson-based model to convert the closing market into an equivalent price at your original line.
Optionally include the closing market's vig percentage for a more precise result. For the most accurate adjustment, use our No Vig / Fair Odds Calculator above to find the fair closing price, then enter that price as Closing Odds and leave Vig blank.